Tennis · Challenger Biella · 13/09, 14:30

Prediction: Adrian Oetzbach vs Pierluigi Basile

Team pages: Adrian Oetzbach · Pierluigi Basile

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Adrian Oetzbach Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Oetzbach 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWWW
Pierluigi Basile 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adrian Oetzbach 1589 · Pierluigi Basile 1567
Adrian OetzbachPierluigi Basile
Our model53%47%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Adrian OetzbachPierluigi Basile
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.51.7-0.8
Games (G-P)12.6-9.713.8-9.7
Aces2.12.8
Double faults2.53.3
1st serve %69.3%72.2%
Break %51.4%49.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adrian Oetzbach

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Eero Vasa
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 12-3 W
05/09 Bruno Fernandez
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 13-9 W
04/09 Lucio Ratti
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 14-11 W
03/09 Marc Majdandzic
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 13-9 W
02/09 Marcel Hornung
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 12-4 W
20/08 Tim Handel
M25 Ueberlingen
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Manuel Plunger
M25 Ueberlingen
2-1 18-16 W
14/08 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Trier
1-2 14-19 L
13/08 Thiago Cigarran
M15 Trier
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Trier
2-0 12-7 W

Pierluigi Basile

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Roberto Perez Socas
M25 Gijon
1-2 18-17 L
08/09 David Aguiar Johansson
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Filippo Valdetara
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Lesa
1-2 9-15 L
23/08 Alexander Weis
M25 Lesa
2-1 18-12 W
22/08 Nico Hipfl
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-7 W
22/08 Lorenzo Comino
M25 Lesa
2-0 13-7 W
18/08 Lorenzo Beraldo
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-4 W
10/08 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Todi · Clay
1-2 15-14 L
19/07 Daniele Rapagnetta
M15 Gubbio
2-1 17-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adrian Oetzbach vs Pierluigi Basile?

Our model gives 61% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.