Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Daniel Michalski
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Daniel Michalski
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Daniel Michalski
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Michalski
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1540 · Daniel Michalski 1662
| Marvin Moeller | Daniel Michalski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1540 vs 1662).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Daniel Michalski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 2-0 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.1 | 12-4.8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 29.2% | 61% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 10/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Matyas Cerny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Franco Ribero M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Nikola Keremedchiev M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Daniel Michalski?
Our model gives 56% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.