Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 14/09, 15:00
Prediction: Kacper Knitter vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Kacper Knitter · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Kacper Knitter
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kacper Knitter
1-9 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kacper Knitter 1422 · Martin Krumich 1473
| Kacper Knitter | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Krumich (rating 1422 vs 1473).
- Martin Krumich is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kacper Knitter | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12 | 10.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kacper Knitter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Calvin Mueller M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Leyton Rivera M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Niklas Guttau M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Mate Valkusz M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Marcel Zielinski Polish National Championships |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jakub Jedrzejczak M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Karol Filar M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kacper Knitter vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 78% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.