Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Alan Wazny
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Alan Wazny
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Alan Wazny
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
7-3 (W-L)
Alan Wazny
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1567 · Alan Wazny 1482
| Tom Gentzsch | Alan Wazny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1567 vs 1482).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 45.1% break avg.
- Tom Gentzsch is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Alan Wazny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.5 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Alan Wazny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jan Sadzik M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Filip Pieczonka M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Noel Larwig M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Alan Wazny?
Our model gives 73% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.