Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 13/09, 14:30
Prediction: Luca Potenza vs Finn Bass
Team pages: Luca Potenza · Finn Bass
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Potenza
Finn Bass
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Potenza
7-3 (W-L)
Finn Bass
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Potenza 1548 · Finn Bass 1439
| Luca Potenza | Finn Bass | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Potenza (rating 1548 vs 1439).
- Luca Potenza is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Finn Bass makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Luca Potenza | Finn Bass | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.1 | 10-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 45% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Potenza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Samuel Heredia M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Finn Bass
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Herman Hoeyeraal Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/03 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Split · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/02 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/02 | Ryan Fishback Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/01 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Glasgow · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 04/01 | James Story Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/11 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Playford · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Potenza vs Finn Bass?
Our model gives 69% to Luca Potenza, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.