Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 13/09, 10:00

Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Gijs Brouwer Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWLWWL
Yanis Ghazouani Durand 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1485 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1527
Gijs BrouwerYanis Ghazouani Durand
Our model44%56%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1485 vs 1527).
  • Note: Gijs Brouwer makes many double faults (5.4/match).
  • Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Gijs BrouwerYanis Ghazouani Durand
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.61.4-1.1
Games (G-P)9-12.811.5-10.5
Aces13
Double faults5.45.7
1st serve %55%69.8%
Break %47.2%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gijs Brouwer

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/09 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
25/08 Andres Martin
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
08/08 Lucas Poullain
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
07/08 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
04/08 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
12/07 Tsung-Hao Huang
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
29/04 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
27/04 Ivan Gakhov
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
2-1 16-13 W

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/09 Maxime Janvier
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
07/09 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/09 Gray Voelzke
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/08 Szymon Kielan
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
25/07 Nicolas Parizzia
M15 Segrate
1-2 10-14 L
24/07 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-3 W
23/07 Peter Buldorini
M15 Segrate
2-1 12-12 W
21/07 Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Segrate
2-1 18-14 W
17/07 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Uriage
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?

Our model gives 52% to Gijs Brouwer, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.