Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 13/09, 10:00
Prediction: Karl Poling vs Nikola Slavic
Team pages: Karl Poling · Nikola Slavic
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Poling
Nikola Slavic
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Poling
6-4 (W-L)
Nikola Slavic
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karl Poling
1–0
Nikola Slavic
(1 last)
- 19 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Poling 1490 · Nikola Slavic 1509
| Karl Poling | Nikola Slavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Karl Poling 1–0 Nikola Slavic (1).
Statistics
| Karl Poling | Nikola Slavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.6 | 11.2-11 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 28.5% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Karl Poling 1 – 0 Nikola Slavic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karl Poling 1–0 Nikola Slavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/24 ITF M15 Vaxjo | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Poling
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Thomas Fancutt M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Jesse Flores M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikola Slavic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Lilian Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Stefan Seifert M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Karl Friberg M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Alejandro Arcila M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Henri Haupt M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Poling vs Nikola Slavic?
Our model gives 61% to Karl Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.