Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 13/09, 16:00
Prediction: Alex Kobelt vs Matisse Bobichon
Team pages: Alex Kobelt · Matisse Bobichon
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Kobelt
Matisse Bobichon
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Kobelt
2-8 (W-L)
Matisse Bobichon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Kobelt 1413 · Matisse Bobichon 1521
| Alex Kobelt | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1413 vs 1521).
- Matisse Bobichon is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Kobelt makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Alex Kobelt | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-12 | 12.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Kobelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Axel Garcian M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Romeo Nobili M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Michael Wright M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 03/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Blake Ellis M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/06 | Mikael Arseneault M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Nicolas Tepmahc M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Jovanovski M15 Brisbane |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 17/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Scott Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Kobelt vs Matisse Bobichon?
Our model gives 76% to Matisse Bobichon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.