Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 13/09, 13:30
Prediction: Matyas Cerny vs Filip Misolic
Team pages: Matyas Cerny · Filip Misolic
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Cerny
Filip Misolic
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Cerny
6-4 (W-L)
Filip Misolic
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Cerny 1492 · Filip Misolic 1423
| Matyas Cerny | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matyas Cerny (rating 1492 vs 1423).
- Matyas Cerny is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matyas Cerny | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.3 | 9.6-13.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Karol Filar M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Milosz Sroka M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jou-George Gnjidic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Filip Misolic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 27/01 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/01 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 12/01 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/01 | Daniel Jovanovski ATP Adelaide · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/01 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Flavio Cobolli Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Alex Molcan ATP Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Cerny vs Filip Misolic?
Our model gives 62% to Filip Misolic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.