Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 13/09, 15:00
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Saba Purtseladze
Team pages: Johan Nikles · Saba Purtseladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Saba Purtseladze
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
5-5 (W-L)
Saba Purtseladze
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1517 · Saba Purtseladze 1505
| Johan Nikles | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 6 aces and 75% break avg.
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.3 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 75% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Florent Lagarrigue M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Richard Antoni Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 64% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.