Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 13/09, 15:00
Prediction: Robert Strombachs vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Robert Strombachs · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Robert Strombachs
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Robert Strombachs
6-4 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robert Strombachs 1489 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1493
| Robert Strombachs | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Robert Strombachs | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.1 | 11.8-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robert Strombachs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Dominik Matic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Ammar Elamin M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Niccolo Catini M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Matyas Kozlovsky M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Arda Azkara M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Dominik Palan M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robert Strombachs vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 64% to Robert Strombachs, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.