Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 13/09, 13:30

Prediction: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Ivan Gakhov

Team pages: Oliwier Sterniczuk · Ivan Gakhov

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Oliwier Sterniczuk Ivan Gakhov
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oliwier Sterniczuk 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLWL
Ivan Gakhov 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oliwier Sterniczuk 1439 · Ivan Gakhov 1471
Oliwier SterniczukIvan Gakhov
Our model45%55%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ivan Gakhov makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Oliwier SterniczukIvan Gakhov
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.51-1.5
Games (G-P)7.6-11.112.6-13.3
Aces2.55.1
Double faults2.64.3
1st serve %60%68%
Break %33.6%47.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oliwier Sterniczuk

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Corentin Denolly
M15 Szczawno
0-2 3-12 L
01/09 Anes Latifovic
M15 Szczawno
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Milosz Sroka
M25 Poznan
0-2 6-12 L
18/08 Uladzislau Tarasevich
M15 Krakow
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Juliusz Bienkiewicz
M15 Bielsko Biala
0-2 9-13 L
29/07 Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Koszalin
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Piotr Siekanowicz
M25 Koszalin
2-0 13-9 W
08/07 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Lodz
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Alan Wazny
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Michal Novansky
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W

Ivan Gakhov

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Oleg Prihodko
Challenger Tulln · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
28/08 Alexander Ritschard
M25 Oviedo
0-2 10-13 L
27/08 Yanaki Milev
M25 Oviedo
2-1 16-17 W
26/08 Samuel De Felipe Garcia
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Oviedo
2-1 17-14 W
19/08 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M25 Santander
0-2 10-13 L
02/08 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 15-18 L
30/07 Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 11-14 L
29/07 Emilien Demanet
M25 Wetzlar
2-1 15-11 W
15/07 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Gandia
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Ivan Gakhov?

Our model gives 74% to Ivan Gakhov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.