Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 15/09, 18:00
Prediction: Alycia Parks vs Varvara Lepchenko
Team pages: Alycia Parks · Varvara Lepchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Alycia Parks
Varvara Lepchenko
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alycia Parks
1-9 (W-L)
Varvara Lepchenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alycia Parks 1463 · Varvara Lepchenko 1451
| Alycia Parks | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 49.7% break avg.
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Alycia Parks | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.2 | 11.3-12.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 7.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alycia Parks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Taylah Preston US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Petra Marcinko WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Anna Petkovic WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alycia Parks vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Our model gives 59% to Alycia Parks, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.