Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 13/09, 21:00
Prediction: Peyton Stearns vs Emiliana Arango
Team pages: Peyton Stearns · Emiliana Arango
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Prediction summary
Winner
Peyton Stearns
Emiliana Arango
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Peyton Stearns
4-6 (W-L)
Emiliana Arango
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Peyton Stearns
0–1
Emiliana Arango
(1 last)
- 26 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peyton Stearns 1482 · Emiliana Arango 1476
| Peyton Stearns | Emiliana Arango | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Peyton Stearns 0–1 Emiliana Arango (1).
- Note: Peyton Stearns makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Emiliana Arango makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Peyton Stearns | Emiliana Arango | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.5 | 11-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Peyton Stearns 0 – 1 Emiliana Arango (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peyton Stearns 0–1 Emiliana Arango
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/22 ITF W80 Tyler | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Emiliana Arango
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Xinyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Venus Williams WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peyton Stearns vs Emiliana Arango?
Our model gives 59% to Peyton Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.