Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 15/09, 18:00
Prediction: Elsa Jacquemot vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Elsa Jacquemot · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elsa Jacquemot
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Elsa Jacquemot
3-7 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elsa Jacquemot 1492 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1519
| Elsa Jacquemot | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Elsa Jacquemot | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.3 | 13.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Kayla Day WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Emanuela Lares WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinyu Wang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Madison Keys WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elsa Jacquemot vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 66% to Ludmilla Samsonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.