Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 15/09, 18:00
Prediction: Elvina Kalieva vs Kayla Day
Team pages: Elvina Kalieva · Kayla Day
Prediction summary
Winner
Elvina Kalieva
Kayla Day
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elvina Kalieva
3-7 (W-L)
Kayla Day
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elvina Kalieva
2–3
Kayla Day
(5 last)
- 12 Apr2-0 13-8W
- 21 Jun2-0 13-9W
- 20 Jun0-2 5-12L
- 19 Jun0-2 3-12L
- 13 Jun0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elvina Kalieva 1520 · Kayla Day 1493
| Elvina Kalieva | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elvina Kalieva 2–3 Kayla Day (5).
- Note: Elvina Kalieva makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Kayla Day makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Elvina Kalieva | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 11.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Elvina Kalieva 2 – 3 Kayla Day (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elvina Kalieva 2–3 Kayla Day
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/22 ITF W100 Palm Harbor | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/06/20 US Pro Tennis Series West Coast Women | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06/20 US Pro Tennis Series West Coast Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06/20 US Pro Tennis Series West Coast Women | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/06/20 US Pro Tennis Series West Coast Women | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Lanlana Tararudee US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Mladenovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kayla Day
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Julieta Pareja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Diane Parry WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Hanyu Guo WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elvina Kalieva vs Kayla Day?
Our model gives 55% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.