Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 15/09, 18:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Taylor Townsend
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Taylor Townsend
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
7-3 (W-L)
Taylor Townsend
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tatjana Maria
0–1
Taylor Townsend
(1 last)
- 22 Jul0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1512 · Taylor Townsend 1539
| Tatjana Maria | Taylor Townsend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tatjana Maria 0–1 Taylor Townsend (1).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Taylor Townsend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.9 | 12.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 72% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Tatjana Maria 0 – 1 Taylor Townsend (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tatjana Maria 0–1 Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/25 WTA Washington | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jelena Ostapenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Isabella Marton WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Talia Gibson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Diana Shnaider US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Taylah Preston US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Maja Chwalinska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend?
Our model gives 62% to Taylor Townsend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.