Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 12/09, 22:00
Prediction: Ingrid C Millan vs Simone Kay
Team pages: Ingrid C Millan · Simone Kay
Prediction summary
Winner
Ingrid C Millan
Simone Kay
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ingrid C Millan
2-8 (W-L)
Simone Kay
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ingrid C Millan 1442 · Simone Kay 1526
| Ingrid C Millan | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simone Kay (rating 1442 vs 1526).
- Simone Kay is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ingrid C Millan makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Simone Kay makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ingrid C Millan | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-11.1 | 9.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 49.5% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 29.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ingrid C Millan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Emery Combs W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jasmine Conway W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 14/04 | Elizabeth Coleman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Kayla Cross W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Midori Castillo Meza UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Hudson Hawkins UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jane Dunyon W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ingrid C Millan vs Simone Kay?
Our model gives 55% to Simone Kay, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.