Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 12/09, 20:30
Prediction: Kate Fakih vs Monika Ekstrand
Team pages: Kate Fakih · Monika Ekstrand
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Fakih
Monika Ekstrand
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Fakih
8-2 (W-L)
Monika Ekstrand
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Fakih 1531 · Monika Ekstrand 1599
| Kate Fakih | Monika Ekstrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monika Ekstrand (rating 1531 vs 1599).
- Note: Kate Fakih makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Monika Ekstrand makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kate Fakih | Monika Ekstrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.3 | 12.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexis Nguyen W35 Florence |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Tatum Evans W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Sophia Webster W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Monika Ekstrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Lilian Poling UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Black W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ciara Moore W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Ellie Blackford W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Alice Gillan W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Fakih vs Monika Ekstrand?
Our model gives 63% to Monika Ekstrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.