Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 12/09, 19:30
Prediction: Mimi Xu vs Caroline Dolehide
Team pages: Mimi Xu · Caroline Dolehide
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Prediction summary
Winner
Mimi Xu
Caroline Dolehide
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mimi Xu
4-6 (W-L)
Caroline Dolehide
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mimi Xu 1459 · Caroline Dolehide 1513
| Mimi Xu | Caroline Dolehide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caroline Dolehide (rating 1459 vs 1513).
- Caroline Dolehide is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Mimi Xu | Caroline Dolehide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.8 | 12.5-11 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 66.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mimi Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mary Lewis W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Eva Lopez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/01 | Erika Andreeva W100 Fujairah |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Mai Hontama W75 Manama |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Caroline Dolehide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Veronika Podrez US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Diane Parry WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Polina Iatcenko W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Savannah Broadus W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 23/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mimi Xu vs Caroline Dolehide?
Our model gives 66% to Caroline Dolehide, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.