Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 14/09, 20:00
Prediction: Simone Kay vs Dia Evtimova
Team pages: Simone Kay · Dia Evtimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Simone Kay
Dia Evtimova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Simone Kay
6-4 (W-L)
Dia Evtimova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simone Kay 1528 · Dia Evtimova 1491
| Simone Kay | Dia Evtimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Simone Kay is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Simone Kay makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Dia Evtimova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Simone Kay | Dia Evtimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.9 | 9.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Midori Castillo Meza UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Hudson Hawkins UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jane Dunyon W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Dia Evtimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Sofia Thorne UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Kristina Paskauskas W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Arina Bulatova W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Emma Kamper W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Aurora Zurmuehle W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Maya Iyengar W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simone Kay vs Dia Evtimova?
Our model gives 57% to Simone Kay, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.