Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 11/09, 20:30
Prediction: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Team pages: Juan Pablo Varillas · Thiago Seyboth Wild
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Varillas
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Varillas
5-5 (W-L)
Thiago Seyboth Wild
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Pablo Varillas
3–1
Thiago Seyboth Wild
(4 last)
- 19 Nov2-0 12-6W
- 01 Feb2-0 13-8W
- 02 Nov0-2 9-13L
- 26 Oct2-0 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Varillas 1585 · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1602
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Pablo Varillas 3–1 Thiago Seyboth Wild (4).
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.1 | 11.1-7.5 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Juan Pablo Varillas 3 – 1 Thiago Seyboth Wild (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Pablo Varillas 3–1 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/22 Challenger Sao Leopoldo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/02/20 ATP Cordoba | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/11/19 Challenger Guayaquil | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10/19 Challenger Lima | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Varillas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Luka Pavlovic US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Raul Brancaccio US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago Seyboth Wild?
Our model gives 59% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.