Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 11/09, 18:30
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Team pages: Matej Dodig · Enrico Dalla Valle
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Enrico Dalla Valle
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
7-3 (W-L)
Enrico Dalla Valle
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1597 · Enrico Dalla Valle 1537
| Matej Dodig | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1597 vs 1537).
- Matej Dodig dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 55% break avg.
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.9 | 12.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.1% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 55% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Enrico Dalla Valle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Mattia Logrippo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Enrico Dalla Valle?
Our model gives 57% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.