Tennis · M25 Sintra · 11/09, 11:00
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Tiago Cacao · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
6-4 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tiago Cacao
1–0
Fausto Tabacco
(1 last)
- 04 Mar2-1 14-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1537 · Fausto Tabacco 1538
| Tiago Cacao | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tiago Cacao 1–0 Fausto Tabacco (1).
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.5 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Tiago Cacao 1 – 0 Fausto Tabacco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiago Cacao 1–0 Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 M25 Faro | 2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Adrien Burdet M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Rodrigo Ferro Duarte Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Francisco Rocha M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Alen Mujakic M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Matteo Covato Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 51% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.