Tennis · M25 Sintra · 11/09, 11:00
Prediction: Goncalo Marques vs Finn Murgett
Team pages: Goncalo Marques · Finn Murgett
Prediction summary
Winner
Goncalo Marques
Finn Murgett
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Goncalo Marques
6-4 (W-L)
Finn Murgett
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goncalo Marques 1551 · Finn Murgett 1574
| Goncalo Marques | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Goncalo Marques dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 51.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Goncalo Marques | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.2 | 13-8.2 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 63.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Lucas Nunez M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/08 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Finn Murgett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Ryan Colby M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Rupert George UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Sil Hollemans UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Aaron Hilsum UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Luca Bluett UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Arthur Weber M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Louis Larue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goncalo Marques vs Finn Murgett?
Our model gives 53% to Goncalo Marques, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.