Tennis · M25 Sintra · 11/09, 11:00
Prediction: Jack Anthrop vs Francisco Rocha
Team pages: Jack Anthrop · Francisco Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Anthrop
Francisco Rocha
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Anthrop
6-4 (W-L)
Francisco Rocha
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Anthrop 1558 · Francisco Rocha 1484
| Jack Anthrop | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Anthrop (rating 1558 vs 1484).
- Jack Anthrop is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Francisco Rocha makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Jack Anthrop | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.7 | 12.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Anthrop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Arseneault M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Noah Schachter M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Karim Bennani M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Gavin Young M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Francisco Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Matisse Farzam M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Anthrop vs Francisco Rocha?
Our model gives 66% to Jack Anthrop, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.