Tennis · M15 Monastir · 11/09, 10:30

Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Roan Jones

Team pages: Cesar Bouchelaghem · Roan Jones

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Cesar Bouchelaghem Roan Jones
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWW
Roan Jones 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Cesar Bouchelaghem 1–0 Roan Jones (1 last)
  • 05 Sept2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1564 · Roan Jones 1553
Cesar BouchelaghemRoan Jones
Our model52%48%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Cesar Bouchelaghem 1–0 Roan Jones (1).

Statistics

Cesar BouchelaghemRoan Jones
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.3-0.8
Games (G-P)11.4-8.310.3-8.1
Aces4.13
Double faults1.11.7
1st serve %69.6%70.7%
Break %42.4%55.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

H2H · Cesar Bouchelaghem 10 Roan Jones (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesar Bouchelaghem 10 Roan Jones

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/09/26
M15 Monastir
2-013-9W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesar Bouchelaghem

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Ammar Elamin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
06/09 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/09 Roan Jones
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/09 Hugo Car
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
03/09 Josh Manuel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Duncan Chan
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
19/07 Hlib Bohach
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Roan Jones

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Carel Aubriel Ngounoue
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/09 Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/09 Hazem Naw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-2 W
02/09 Theo Herrmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Daniel Jade
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Mae Malige
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/08 Ammar Elamin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/08 Peter Makk
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/08 Ryan James Storrie
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 10-8 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Roan Jones?

Our model gives 58% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.