Tennis · M15 Monastir · 19/09, 10:30
Prediction: Kasra Rahmani vs Ewen Lumsden
Team pages: Kasra Rahmani · Ewen Lumsden
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasra Rahmani
Ewen Lumsden
Estimated games
18.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kasra Rahmani
7-3 (W-L)
Ewen Lumsden
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasra Rahmani 1559 · Ewen Lumsden 1629
| Kasra Rahmani | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ewen Lumsden (rating 1559 vs 1629).
- Ewen Lumsden is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kasra Rahmani | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.8-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-7.4 | 11.7-6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 68% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasra Rahmani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | James Connel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | William Nolan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Denitto M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Liam Hignett UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/05 | Finlay Watters UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/05 | Alvar Lange UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Emile Hudd M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasra Rahmani vs Ewen Lumsden?
Our model gives 58% to Kasra Rahmani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.