Tennis · M15 Monastir · 10/09, 11:30
Prediction: Lucca Liu vs Josh Manuel
Team pages: Lucca Liu · Josh Manuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucca Liu
Josh Manuel
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucca Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Josh Manuel
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucca Liu 1498 · Josh Manuel 1492
| Lucca Liu | Josh Manuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucca Liu | Josh Manuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.4 | 8.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 43% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucca Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/06 | Goncalo Quintela M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Ryan Colby M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Eli Stephenson M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/03 | Dominique Rolland M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Josh Manuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Nav Dayal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Tyler Stice M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Coffi Christian Dhossou M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Lars Wagenaar UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Tom Sickenberger UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucca Liu vs Josh Manuel?
Our model gives 69% to Lucca Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.