Tennis · M25 Sintra · 10/09, 11:00
Prediction: Finn Murgett vs Ryan Colby
Team pages: Finn Murgett · Ryan Colby
Prediction summary
Winner
Finn Murgett
Ryan Colby
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Murgett
5-5 (W-L)
Ryan Colby
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Murgett 1566 · Ryan Colby 1477
| Finn Murgett | Ryan Colby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Finn Murgett (rating 1566 vs 1477).
- Finn Murgett is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ryan Colby makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Finn Murgett | Ryan Colby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.8 | 12.5-12.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 66.6% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Murgett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Rupert George UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Sil Hollemans UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Aaron Hilsum UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Luca Bluett UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Arthur Weber M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Louis Larue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/05 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ryan Colby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Joao Mendes M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikola Djosic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Louisville |
0-1 | 3-7 | L |
| 07/07 | Yuta Shimizu M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Christian Langmo Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Murgett vs Ryan Colby?
Our model gives 52% to Finn Murgett, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.