Tennis · M25 Sintra · 10/09, 12:30
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Benjamin Thomas George
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Benjamin Thomas George
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Benjamin Thomas George
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Thomas George
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1560 · Benjamin Thomas George 1460
| Patrick Schoen | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1560 vs 1460).
- Patrick Schoen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Thomas George makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Benjamin Thomas George | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.3 | 11.1-13 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Rigele Te M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
Benjamin Thomas George
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 19/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Benjamin Thomas George?
Our model gives 77% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.