Tennis · M25 Pozzuoli · 10/09, 12:00

Prediction: Andrea Colombo vs Fabrizio Andaloro

Team pages: Andrea Colombo · Fabrizio Andaloro

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Andrea Colombo Fabrizio Andaloro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Colombo 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWL
Fabrizio Andaloro 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Colombo 1558 · Fabrizio Andaloro 1521
Andrea ColomboFabrizio Andaloro
Our model55%45%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Andrea Colombo dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 57.6% break avg.
  • Note: Fabrizio Andaloro makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Andrea ColomboFabrizio Andaloro
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.81.4-1.1
Games (G-P)13.6-1111.5-11.5
Aces7.92.7
Double faults2.64.3
1st serve %73.7%63.9%
Break %57.6%40.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Colombo

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Filippo Pecorini
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 14-13 W
31/08 Olle Wallin
Challenger Como · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
30/08 Gianmarco Ferrari
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
22/08 Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 14-17 L
21/08 Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-7 W
20/08 Matias Reyniak
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 14-11 W
19/08 Robin Bertrand
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-8 W
13/08 Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 16-17 L
12/08 Francisco Faria
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Pedro Liborio
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-7 W

Fabrizio Andaloro

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Evan Galea
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-2 W
25/08 Emile Hudd
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
24/08 Giulio Perego
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/08 Tiago Cacao
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
20/08 Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 16-11 W
12/08 Pablo Perez Navarro
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 11-16 L
02/07 Rodrigo Fernandes
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L
01/07 Joao Domingues
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
26/06 Mert Alkaya
M25 Porto
1-2 9-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea Colombo vs Fabrizio Andaloro?

Our model gives 56% to Fabrizio Andaloro, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.