Tennis · M25 Pozzuoli · 11/09, 11:30
Prediction: Filippo Mazzola vs Filippo Moroni
Team pages: Filippo Mazzola · Filippo Moroni
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Mazzola
Filippo Moroni
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Mazzola
6-4 (W-L)
Filippo Moroni
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Mazzola 1518 · Filippo Moroni 1456
| Filippo Mazzola | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filippo Mazzola (rating 1518 vs 1456).
- Filippo Mazzola is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Filippo Mazzola | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.1 | 10.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Niccolo Catini M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Edoardo Betti M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 16/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Filippo Moroni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Matteo Martineau M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/03 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Barletta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Montemar · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/11 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Montemar · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Mazzola vs Filippo Moroni?
Our model gives 60% to Filippo Moroni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.