Tennis · M25 Pozzuoli · 12/09, 11:00
Prediction: Melios Efstathiou vs Filippo Moroni
Team pages: Melios Efstathiou · Filippo Moroni
Prediction summary
Winner
Melios Efstathiou
Filippo Moroni
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Melios Efstathiou
5-5 (W-L)
Filippo Moroni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melios Efstathiou 1533 · Filippo Moroni 1453
| Melios Efstathiou | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melios Efstathiou (rating 1533 vs 1453).
- Melios Efstathiou is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Melios Efstathiou | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.7 | 10-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melios Efstathiou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Mariano Tammaro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Ferri M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Marko Retelj M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Filippo Moroni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Matteo Martineau M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/03 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Barletta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Montemar · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melios Efstathiou vs Filippo Moroni?
Our model gives 50% to Melios Efstathiou, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.