Tennis · M25 Sintra · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Goncalo Marques vs Tomas Curras Abasolo
Team pages: Goncalo Marques · Tomas Curras Abasolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Goncalo Marques
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Goncalo Marques
5-5 (W-L)
Tomas Curras Abasolo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goncalo Marques 1572 · Tomas Curras Abasolo 1461
| Goncalo Marques | Tomas Curras Abasolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goncalo Marques (rating 1572 vs 1461).
- Goncalo Marques dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 50.3% break avg.
- Goncalo Marques is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Goncalo Marques | Tomas Curras Abasolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.1 | 8.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goncalo Marques
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Lucas Nunez M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/08 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Julian Alonso M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Vic |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Diogo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Florian Broska M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Fausto Tabacco UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Raghav Jaisinghani UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goncalo Marques vs Tomas Curras Abasolo?
Our model gives 67% to Goncalo Marques, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.