Tennis · M25 Pozzuoli · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mateja Stanisavljevic vs Leonardo Rossi
Team pages: Mateja Stanisavljevic · Leonardo Rossi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateja Stanisavljevic
Leonardo Rossi
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mateja Stanisavljevic
7-3 (W-L)
Leonardo Rossi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateja Stanisavljevic 1453 · Leonardo Rossi 1528
| Mateja Stanisavljevic | Leonardo Rossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonardo Rossi (rating 1453 vs 1528).
- Leonardo Rossi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mateja Stanisavljevic | Leonardo Rossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11 | 12.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateja Stanisavljevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/08 | Leo Lagarrigue M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Sammy Guinau M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Pranav Karthik M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Milan Ristov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 13/05 | Rocco Valente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Sam Bird M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/05 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Leonardo Rossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Hady Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Robert Strombachs M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Adam Majchrzak M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateja Stanisavljevic vs Leonardo Rossi?
Our model gives 74% to Leonardo Rossi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.