Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 10/09, 03:00
Prediction: Yu Tanaka vs Keisuke Saitoh
Team pages: Keisuke Saitoh
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Tanaka
Keisuke Saitoh
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Tanaka
6-4 (W-L)
Keisuke Saitoh
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Tanaka 1539 · Keisuke Saitoh 1534
| Yu Tanaka | Keisuke Saitoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yu Tanaka | Keisuke Saitoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.7 | 10.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 64% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Tanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Naoki Tajima M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 7-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Azuma Visaya M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Keisuke Saitoh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Bali |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Rafalentino Ali Da Costa M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Tanaka vs Keisuke Saitoh?
Our model gives 63% to Keisuke Saitoh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.