Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 10/09, 03:00
Prediction: Yunseong Chung vs Yuta Kikuchi
Team pages: Yunseong Chung · Yuta Kikuchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Yunseong Chung
Yuta Kikuchi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yunseong Chung
9-1 (W-L)
Yuta Kikuchi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yunseong Chung
1–0
Yuta Kikuchi
(1 last)
- 27 May2-1 15-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yunseong Chung 1559 · Yuta Kikuchi 1483
| Yunseong Chung | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yunseong Chung (rating 1559 vs 1483).
- Yunseong Chung is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yunseong Chung 1–0 Yuta Kikuchi (1).
Statistics
| Yunseong Chung | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Yunseong Chung 1 – 0 Yuta Kikuchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunseong Chung 1–0 Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/21 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunseong Chung
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Philip Sekulic M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Takumi Katsuda M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Charlie Pade M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Yue Xia M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yunseong Chung vs Yuta Kikuchi?
Our model gives 69% to Yunseong Chung, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.