Tennis · US Open MD · 10/09, 03:30
Prediction: Bolelli/Vavassori vs Harrison/Skupski
Team pages: Bolelli/Vavassori · Harrison/Skupski
Prediction summary
Winner
Bolelli/Vavassori
Harrison/Skupski
Estimated games
26.8
Recent form · 10 last
Bolelli/Vavassori
5-5 (W-L)
Harrison/Skupski
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bolelli/Vavassori
2–0
Harrison/Skupski
(2 last)
- 16 May2-1 20-18W
- 26 Mar2-1 22-18W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolelli/Vavassori 1560 · Harrison/Skupski 1518
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Harrison/Skupski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolelli/Vavassori (rating 1560 vs 1518).
- Head-to-head: Bolelli/Vavassori 2–0 Harrison/Skupski (2).
Statistics
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Harrison/Skupski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.9 | 14.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 84.9% |
| Break % | 46% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8
H2H · Bolelli/Vavassori 2 – 0 Harrison/Skupski (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolelli/Vavassori 2–0 Harrison/Skupski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 ATP Rome MD | 2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 26/03/26 ATP Miami MD | 2-1 | 22-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolelli/Vavassori
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Krajicek/Mektic US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/09 | Gille/Verbeek US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Halys/Herbert US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Rinderknech/Vacherot ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Behar/Chandrasekar ATP Washington MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-22 | L |
| 27/07 | Cash/Erler ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Krajicek/Mektic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Harrison/Skupski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Schnaitter/Wallner US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Choinski/Donski US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Reymond/Sanchez US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
| 29/07 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Washington MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Hidalgo/Shelton ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/07 | Kokkinakis/Kovacevic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Paul/Seggerman Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Etcheverry/Kestelboim Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolelli/Vavassori vs Harrison/Skupski?
Our model gives 53% to Bolelli/Vavassori, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

