Tennis · US Open MD · 10/09, 01:00
Prediction: Heliovaara/Patten vs Andreozzi/Guinard
Team pages: Heliovaara/Patten · Andreozzi/Guinard
Prediction summary
Winner
Heliovaara/Patten
Andreozzi/Guinard
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Heliovaara/Patten
8-2 (W-L)
Andreozzi/Guinard
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Heliovaara/Patten
4–1
Andreozzi/Guinard
(5 last)
- 07 Jul2-1 15-16W
- 17 Jun2-0 12-6W
- 02 May2-1 19-16W
- 09 Oct1-2 20-20L
- 30 Sept2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heliovaara/Patten 1579 · Andreozzi/Guinard 1533
| Heliovaara/Patten | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heliovaara/Patten (rating 1579 vs 1533).
- Head-to-head: Heliovaara/Patten 4–1 Andreozzi/Guinard (5).
Statistics
| Heliovaara/Patten | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9 | 15.2-13.4 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 77% |
| Break % | 41% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Heliovaara/Patten 4 – 1 Andreozzi/Guinard (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heliovaara/Patten 4–1 Andreozzi/Guinard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 Wimbledon MD | 2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 17/06/26 ATP Queens MD | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/05/26 ATP Madrid MD | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/10/25 ATP Shanghai MD | 1-2 | 20-20 | L |
| 30/09/25 ATP Beijing MD | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heliovaara/Patten
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Cabral/Tracy US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Arnaldi/Struff US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Cerundolo/Cerundolo US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Hanfmann/Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Cerundolo/Etcheverry ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Goransson/Ruud ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Buse/Cobolli ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Kokkinakis/Kovacevic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Andreozzi/Guinard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/09 | Reynolds/Watt US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Galloway/King ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-23 | L |
| 11/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 08/08 | Arnaldi/Musetti ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Washington MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Miedler/Polmans ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Heliovaara/Patten Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Ho/Jebens Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heliovaara/Patten vs Andreozzi/Guinard?
Our model gives 62% to Heliovaara/Patten, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.