Tennis · US Open MD · 10/09, 00:00

Prediction: Krawietz/Puetz vs Arevalo/Pavic

Team pages: Krawietz/Puetz · Arevalo/Pavic

Prediction summary

Winner

44% 56%

Krawietz/Puetz Arevalo/Pavic

Estimated games

26.7

Recent form · 10 last

Krawietz/Puetz 6-4 (W-L)

LWLWWLLWWW

Arevalo/Pavic 9-1 (W-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Krawietz/Puetz 6–3 Arevalo/Pavic (9 last)

09 Jul0-2 8-13L
12 Apr2-1 20-16W
17 Nov2-0 14-12W
11 Nov2-0 12-7W
06 Sept2-1 18-14W
10 Aug1-2 13-19L
03 Jun0-2 12-14L
12 Mar2-1 21-16W

Showing the 8 with a final score we have.

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Krawietz/Puetz 1553 · Arevalo/Pavic 1584

	Krawietz/Puetz	Arevalo/Pavic
Our model	46%	54%
Market	42%	58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Head-to-head: Krawietz/Puetz 6–3 Arevalo/Pavic (9).
Note: Krawietz/Puetz makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

	Krawietz/Puetz	Arevalo/Pavic
Win %	70%	80%
Win % · Hard	75% (4)	80% (10)
Sets (G-P)	1.5-1	1.8-0.8
Games (G-P)	15.1-14.6	15-13.5
Aces	4	4.7
Double faults	5	2.7
1st serve %	80%	78.8%
Break %	45.8%	30.2%

Estimated total games (ours) 26.7

H2H · Krawietz/Puetz 6 – 3 Arevalo/Pavic (9)

Odds Bet365

12.20

21.61

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	2
08:34 +2’	2.20	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Krawietz/Puetz 6–3 Arevalo/Pavic

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Sets	Games	Res.
09/07/26 Wimbledon MD	0-2	8-13	L
12/04/26 ATP Monte Carlo MD	2-1	20-16	W
17/11/24 ATP World Tour Finals MD	2-0	14-12	W
11/11/24 ATP World Tour Finals MD	2-0	12-7	W
06/09/24 US Open MD	2-1	18-14	W
10/08/24 ATP Montreal MD	1-2	13-19	L
03/06/24 French Open MD	0-2	12-14	L
12/03/24 ATP Indian Wells MD	2-1	21-16	W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Krawietz/Puetz

LLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
09/09	Cash/Glasspool US Open MD · Hard	2-0	14-12	W
07/09	Rojer/Winegar US Open MD · Hard	2-1	18-15	W
04/09	Faria/Walton US Open MD · Hard	2-1	19-17	W
18/08	Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard	1-2	18-21	L
09/07	Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass	0-2	8-13	L
08/07	Doumbia/Reboul Wimbledon MD · Grass	2-0	14-11	W
05/07	Cabral/Miedler Wimbledon MD · Grass	2-0	14-12	W
03/07	Burruchaga/Tirante Wimbledon MD · Grass	2-1	18-16	W
01/07	Escobar/Stalder Wimbledon MD · Grass	2-1	16-15	W
17/06	Galloway/Peers ATP Halle MD · Grass	0-2	12-14	L

Arevalo/Pavic

WLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
08/09	Miedler/Polmans US Open MD · Hard	2-1	17-15	W
07/09	Kiger/Kovacevic US Open MD · Hard	2-1	20-19	W
05/09	Johnson/Zielinski US Open MD · Hard	2-1	14-16	W
20/08	Arribage/Olivetti ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard	1-2	14-20	L
17/08	Khachanov/Rublev ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard	2-1	19-15	W
13/08	Luz/Matos ATP Montreal MD · Hard	1-2	17-21	L
12/08	Arribage/Olivetti ATP Montreal MD · Hard	2-0	12-8	W
10/08	Chan/Galarneau ATP Montreal MD · Hard	2-0	12-6	W
09/08	Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Montreal MD · Hard	2-0	13-8	W
07/08	Galloway/King ATP Montreal MD · Hard	2-0	12-7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Krawietz/Puetz vs Arevalo/Pavic?

Our model gives 56% to Arevalo/Pavic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.