Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 10/09, 11:00
Prediction: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travaglia
Team pages: Enrico Dalla Valle · Stefano Travaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Enrico Dalla Valle
Stefano Travaglia
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Enrico Dalla Valle
7-3 (W-L)
Stefano Travaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Enrico Dalla Valle
3–1
Stefano Travaglia
(4 last)
- 30 Jun2-0 13-7W
- 16 Jul2-0 12-5W
- 21 Mar2-0 12-5W
- 20 Jul0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enrico Dalla Valle 1541 · Stefano Travaglia 1477
| Enrico Dalla Valle | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enrico Dalla Valle (rating 1541 vs 1477).
- Head-to-head: Enrico Dalla Valle 3–1 Stefano Travaglia (4).
Statistics
| Enrico Dalla Valle | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.4 | 10.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 5 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Enrico Dalla Valle 3 – 1 Stefano Travaglia (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Enrico Dalla Valle 3–1 Stefano Travaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/26 Challenger Milan | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07/24 Challenger Amersfoort | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/03/24 Challenger Zadar | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07/16 ITF Italy F21 | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enrico Dalla Valle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Mattia Logrippo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Stefano Travaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Mikrut Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travaglia?
Our model gives 56% to Enrico Dalla Valle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.