Tennis · M25 Pozzuoli · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Niccolo Catini vs Filippo Mazzola
Team pages: Niccolo Catini · Filippo Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Niccolo Catini
Filippo Mazzola
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Niccolo Catini
8-2 (W-L)
Filippo Mazzola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niccolo Catini 1508 · Filippo Mazzola 1500
| Niccolo Catini | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Niccolo Catini | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.4 | 10.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niccolo Catini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iiro Vasa M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Brendan McDonald M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Filippo Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Edoardo Betti M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 16/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niccolo Catini vs Filippo Mazzola?
Our model gives 53% to Filippo Mazzola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.