Tennis · M25 Pozzuoli · 10/09, 10:00

Prediction: Melios Efstathiou vs Mariano Tammaro

Team pages: Melios Efstathiou

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Melios Efstathiou Mariano Tammaro
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Melios Efstathiou 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWWWWL
Mariano Tammaro 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melios Efstathiou 1524 · Mariano Tammaro 1498
Melios EfstathiouMariano Tammaro
Our model54%46%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Melios EfstathiouMariano Tammaro
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.7-10.79.7-10.5
Aces0.81.7
Double faults2.53
1st serve %64.9%65.7%
Break %50.9%43.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melios Efstathiou

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Oskari Paldanius
M15 Turku
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 Kacper Szymkowiak
M15 Turku
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 14-17 L
16/07 Alexander Gschiel
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-9 W
15/07 Lorenzo Ferri
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Marko Retelj
M15 Store
0-2 5-12 L
21/06 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/06 Mickael Kaouk
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
18/06 Elijah Sanogo
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
17/06 Nicolas Ifi
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Mariano Tammaro

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Fabrizio Karol Pio Osti
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 13-8 W
28/05 Alexandr Binda
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
27/05 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/04 Radu Mihai Papoe
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 3-11 L
08/04 Corban Crowther
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/04 Noah Thurner
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
23/03 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Naples · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
22/03 Gianmarco Ferrari
Challenger Naples · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
17/03 Hynek Barton
M15 Foggia · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
04/03 Alessandro Spadola
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melios Efstathiou vs Mariano Tammaro?

Our model gives 66% to Melios Efstathiou, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.