Tennis · M25 Sintra · 10/09, 11:00

Prediction: Alen Mujakic vs Fausto Tabacco

Team pages: Alen Mujakic · Fausto Tabacco

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Alen Mujakic Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alen Mujakic 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWLW
Fausto Tabacco 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alen Mujakic 1480 · Fausto Tabacco 1552
Alen MujakicFausto Tabacco
Our model40%60%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fausto Tabacco (rating 1480 vs 1552).
  • Fausto Tabacco is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Alen Mujakic makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Alen MujakicFausto Tabacco
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.5-1
Games (G-P)10.9-10.911.5-10.4
Aces1.72.3
Double faults55.1
1st serve %64.3%62.3%
Break %43.8%34.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alen Mujakic

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Jose Freitas
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-1 W
27/08 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Vienna
1-2 8-14 L
26/08 Manuel Lazic
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 David Fix
M15 Frankfurt
1-2 8-15 L
29/07 Vincent Marysko
M25 Wetzlar
1-2 16-19 L
08/07 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
01/07 Aaron Gil Garcia
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Vlado Jankanj
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
12/06 Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
10/06 Antonio Voljavec
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W

Fausto Tabacco

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Rodrigo Leal
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Como · Clay
1-2 9-15 L
31/08 Andrey Chepelev
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
30/08 Matteo Covato
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
29/06 Daniele Rapagnetta
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
28/06 Francesco Forti
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
27/06 Federico Arnaboldi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/06 Matthew William Donald
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 11-4 W
25/06 Federico Iannaccone
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Leonardo Malgaroli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alen Mujakic vs Fausto Tabacco?

Our model gives 75% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.