Tennis · M15 Monastir · 09/09, 11:00
Prediction: Mahmoud Chetouane vs Lucca Liu
Team pages: Mahmoud Chetouane · Lucca Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mahmoud Chetouane
Lucca Liu
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mahmoud Chetouane
2-8 (W-L)
Lucca Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mahmoud Chetouane 1424 · Lucca Liu 1489
| Mahmoud Chetouane | Lucca Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucca Liu (rating 1424 vs 1489).
- Lucca Liu is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mahmoud Chetouane | Lucca Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.4-11.9 | 10.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56% | 65% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mahmoud Chetouane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Etienne Donnet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/11 | Louis Allen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/11 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lucca Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/06 | Goncalo Quintela M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Ryan Colby M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Eli Stephenson M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/03 | Dominique Rolland M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 18/03 | William Grant M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mahmoud Chetouane vs Lucca Liu?
Our model gives 77% to Lucca Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.