Tennis · M15 Monastir · 09/09, 11:00
Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Ammar Elamin
Team pages: Cesar Bouchelaghem · Ammar Elamin
Prediction summary
Winner
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Ammar Elamin
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem
8-2 (W-L)
Ammar Elamin
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1552 · Ammar Elamin 1438
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Ammar Elamin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1552 vs 1438).
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Ammar Elamin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.2 | 9.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 30.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Car M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Hlib Bohach Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ammar Elamin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Hugo Car M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/08 | Robert Strombachs M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Matt Ponchet M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Aaron Gabet M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Denis Klok M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Ammar Elamin?
Our model gives 78% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.