Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Duje Ajdukovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Team pages: Duje Ajdukovic · Stefanos Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Duje Ajdukovic
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Duje Ajdukovic
7-3 (W-L)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duje Ajdukovic 1482 · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1542
| Duje Ajdukovic | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Sakellaridis (rating 1482 vs 1542).
- Stefanos Sakellaridis dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 47.6% break avg.
- Stefanos Sakellaridis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Stefanos Sakellaridis makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Duje Ajdukovic | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.3 | 12.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duje Ajdukovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duje Ajdukovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 64% to Stefanos Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.