Tennis · M25 Sapporo · 09/09, 03:00

Prediction: Yua Taka vs Jerry Roddick

Team pages: Yua Taka · Jerry Roddick

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Yua Taka Jerry Roddick
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yua Taka 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLWLLL
Jerry Roddick 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yua Taka 1466 · Jerry Roddick 1478
Yua TakaJerry Roddick
Our model48%52%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yua TakaJerry Roddick
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.40.9-1.2
Games (G-P)8.3-9.99.5-8.8
Aces1.51.9
Double faults2.62.2
1st serve %63%68.5%
Break %35.6%55.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yua Taka

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Kazushi Idogaki
M25 Sapporo
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu
0-2 5-12 L
26/08 Chase Ferguson
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Yue Xia
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 James Van Herzeele
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
16/07 Asahi Harazaki
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Uisung Park
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Chen-Yu Lu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Martin Borisiouk
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Dong Ju Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Jerry Roddick

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Ryuichiro Nakano
M25 Sapporo
2-0 12-3 W
01/09 Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Urayasu
0-2 6-13 L
31/08 Yamato Sueoka
M25 Urayasu
2-0 12-1 W
11/08 Joshua Peck
M25 East Lansing
0-2 7-12 L
30/07 Bruno Kuzuhara
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 7-12 L
29/07 Jon Gamble
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Karim Bennani
M25 Champaign
1-2 12-12 L
15/07 Luca Pow
M25 Louisville
0-2 7-12 L
09/07 Bruno Kuzuhara
M25 Dallas
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Wesley Cotton
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yua Taka vs Jerry Roddick?

Our model gives 66% to Jerry Roddick, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.