Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 10/09, 03:30
Prediction: Kate Fakih vs Tricia Mar
Team pages: Kate Fakih · Tricia Mar
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Fakih
Tricia Mar
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Fakih
7-3 (W-L)
Tricia Mar
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Fakih 1509 · Tricia Mar 1410
| Kate Fakih | Tricia Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kate Fakih (rating 1509 vs 1410).
- Kate Fakih is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Kate Fakih makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kate Fakih | Tricia Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.1 | 8.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 52.4% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexis Nguyen W35 Florence |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Tatum Evans W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Sophia Webster W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tricia Mar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/08 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Sue Yan Tan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Kelsey Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Fakih vs Tricia Mar?
Our model gives 80% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.